Grevious misuse of statistics

The BBC today (2008-10-23) carries a news story about the under-reporting of serious crime due to the mis-classification of certain crimes. The story is examined in more detail in an op-ed piece “How the police missed the violence”..

The problem has come about when the intended victim manages to escape serious harm when attacked. The example given concerns a pub fight in which the assailant attempts to “glass” the victim but she suffers only minor injuries not the intended major damage to her face. The police then classify the crime not as “grievous bodily harm with intent to cause serious injury.” but as merely(?) “grievous bodily harm”.

14 forces have gone back through their statistics and reclassified GBH’s as the more serious crime where intent was clearly present but no great injury was suffered. This has resulted in a 22% jump in reported violent crime over the same period last year although it has not affected the total number of offences reported.

The IQ lesson here concerns the way in which business terms are defined and then applied. The key word in the definition is “intent” but many officers on the ground concentrate on the phrase “to cause serious injury”.Mind you as an ordinary man in the street I think I would classify GBH as a violent crime but officially in falls into the “Other personal crime (with Injury)” category which is not seemed a serious category.

One thought on “Grevious misuse of statistics

  1. Daragh O Brien

    Hmm… that classification kind of sounds like someone being ‘slightly pregnant’. Interesting that the police went back and recategorised the statistics though; I’m left with two questions:

    1) Why were the statistics ‘fudged’ on the basis of the scale of injury/damage in the first place (politics perhaps?)
    2) Why are they now being restated as more serious crimes (manpower and budgets for the noble plod perhaps?)

    Nice catch Keith.

    Reply

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